Econ. 359:  Industrial Organization
Spring 2008

Problem Set Number 5

Due February 25, 2008


Suppose that the supply of cocaine reaching the North American market from all countries other than Colombia is constant. If Colombian producers do not sell any cocaine in North America, the market price is $2,000 per kilo. Colombian producers are able to produce an essentially unlimited amount of the drug for a constant marginal cost of $100 per kilo. However, Columbian supply is initially nonexistant, because no one can raise the necessary fixed cost of $400 million to establish and maintain a black market distribution network.

1. A group of producers centered in the city of Cali forms a cartel in order to raise the $400 million and enter the North American market. For insurance against prosecution in their own country, they pay the equivalent of an additional marginal cost of $100 per kilo in bribes to police, politicians and judges, in addition to the $100 marginal production cost (total variable cost=$200/kilo) . As they begin to supply the North American market, they discover that for each million kilos sold, the price drops by $100 per kilo. Assuming that all cocaine sells for the same price,

a. What is marginal revenue for the cartel for each million kilos they supply?
b. How much would the Cali cartel send to North America annually?
c. What would be the market price?
d. How much profits would the cartel earn?

2. Now a group of cocaine producers near the city of Medellin notices how rich the Cali producers are getting, and forms another cartel. They also need to spend $400 million in fixed costs. They can use guns to protect their operation, which keeps their marginal costs at only $150 per kilo, including the cost of "protection". If the Medellin cartel assumes that the supply to the market from all other sources (including Cali) remains constant, what would be their:

a. Marginal revenue cartel at each million kilos they supply?
b. Quantity Medellin would supply to maximize their own profits?
c. New market price?
d. Profits (net of fixed costs)?

3. Now the Cali cartel realizes they have potential competition from Medellin, and holds a meeting to decide whether to increase supplies and reduce the price in order to keep Medellin out or let them in and accommodate the new supply.

a. How low would the Cali cartel need to get the price to make it unprofitable for Medellin to enter, how much would they have to sell to get the price that low, and what would be their profits?
b. If they let Cali in, what would be the equilibrium price, quantities, and profits that each cartel would supply where neither has an incentive to change production (the Cournot-Nash equilibrium)? Remember, in this round Cali does not have fixed costs, but Medellin does.
c. Which strategy is best for Cali? What do they decide to do?